ECB Underwhelms; Euro Jumps Against Dollar
European central bank cuts deposit rate, extends purchases to boost inflation.
(Reuters) Frankfurt – The European Central Bank cut a key interest rate on Thursday and announced an extension of its monthly asset purchases, but the euro leapt higher as financial markets signaled they had been expecting yet more stimulus.
Delving deeper into the bank's monetary toolbox, ECB Chief Mario Draghi said the bank would not only include euro-denominated regional and local debt in its purchases but would also look to reinvest principal payments in the scheme.
‘Favorable Liquidity’
This will contribute both to favorable liquidity conditions and to an appropriate monetary policy stance," Draghi told a news conference, without saying how much that could add to overall purchases currently hitting 60 billion euros a month.
He said the ECB did not add to its monthly asset purchase program because extending the scheme and reinvesting proceeds were deemed sufficient.
"Our asset purchase program is flexible. It can always be adjusted. We decided the extension of our horizon and especially the reinvestment of principal would be sufficient," he said.
Draghi said the quantitative easing asset-buying program would continue "until the end of March 2017 or beyond if necessary," he added, spelling out that the central bank's priority of hitting a medium-term target of inflation at just under 2%.
It had been due to end around September 2016.
Deposit Rate Cut Further
Earlier, the bank cut its deposit rate to -0.3 percent from its existing -0.2 percent, effectively charging banks more for parking cash with the central bank, reversing its earlier guidance that rates had bottomed out.
But the euro hit a four-week high of $1.0894, over 2% up on the day, in a sign financial markets had been expecting Draghi to provide more stimulus.
"Bear in mind that Super Mario has accustomed market participants to surpass their lofty expectations," Stephane Ekolo, chief European strategist at Market Securities, said, using a common Draghi nickname. "Maybe Super Mario is saving ammunition for another occasion."
Risk Skewered To Downside
Draghi stressed that risks to the world economy and to the inflation outlook remained skewed to the downside and added that he did not rule out the use of other instruments if needed.
Responding to reporters' questions over possible future action and whether interest rates were now at their lower bound, Draghi said: "We are not going to be hampered in this by technical issues."
With inflation running near zero and likely to miss the bank's target of nearly 2% for years to come, the ECB had all but committed to action.
The bank's governing council had also been expected to have discussed more extreme ideas, possibly a two-tier deposit rate that would punish banks for parking too much cash with the central bank or the purchase of municipal and corporate debt.
Some Blame Oil Prices
But many of those proposals were seen meeting resistance within the council. Critics of easing, led by the Governing Council's two German members, argue that monetary policy is already exceptionally loose and the biggest reason inflation is hovering near zero is the fall in oil prices, which is a boost for growth as lower energy costs leave households with more to spend.
The U.S. Federal Reserve's expected interest-rate hike this month also complicates ECB action. Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on Wednesday she was "looking forward" to a U.S. interest-rate rise but an unexpectedly weak manufacturing survey this week has also raised fresh doubts about the Fed's rate path.
Indeed, business activity in the eurozone picked up at its fastest pace since mid-2011 last month, third-quarter economic growth was running at a respectable 1.6%, and lending is increasing at the quickest rate in four years.